California Gubernatorial Race: Becerra and Hilton Lead Early Returns, Steyer Trails

Ta-Nehisi Coates

Author and journalist whose work on culture, race, and history includes writing for Marvel's "Black Panther."

The preliminary results of California's gubernatorial primary election indicate that Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton are leading the contest, positioning themselves favorably for the upcoming November runoff. Meanwhile, Tom Steyer is trailing behind in third place. The complete tabulation of votes, which will ultimately determine the two candidates advancing, is anticipated to extend over several days.

Xavier Becerra, who previously served as the health secretary in the Biden administration, has consistently held a strong position in recent polls. However, Steve Hilton, a Republican contributor to Fox News, has also shown significant strength and could potentially secure the top spot. Tom Steyer, a billionaire hedge fund manager, had aimed to benefit from a strategic voting pattern among Democrats, hoping to prevent a Republican candidate from proceeding to the runoff election. Despite his efforts, current returns show him lagging behind the frontrunners.

As vote counting continues across California, approximately half of the state's precincts have reported partial returns. These initial figures show Steve Hilton with a slight lead, holding 26.6% of the vote, closely followed by Xavier Becerra at 25.9%. Tom Steyer's current standing is at 19.7%, placing him considerably behind the top two contenders. The process of certifying election results in California can be extensive, often taking up to 30 days as counties meticulously verify signatures and count mail-in ballots postmarked by election day.

During his address to supporters in San Francisco, Tom Steyer emphasized the importance of patience, acknowledging the collective effort invested in the campaign. He stated that while the hard work had been completed, the next step was to await the final count. Concurrently, Xavier Becerra addressed his supporters around 10:30 p.m., highlighting his journey as an underdog and his perseverance in the race. He expressed confidence that his campaign was on track to advance to the November general election, though he cautioned against complacency.

A key issue for all leading gubernatorial hopefuls has been their stance on the California film and TV tax credit. Each candidate has pledged to enhance this program if elected. Notably, Steve Hilton has gone further by promising to completely remove the $750 million cap on the program, a move he believes will 'bring Hollywood home.' Becerra, on the other hand, has committed to convening an entertainment summit early in his term, aiming to engage industry stakeholders. Tom Steyer, known for his strong ties to the labor movement, received endorsement from the International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees, the state's largest film union.

Beyond the leading contenders, other candidates in the race include Matt Mahan, the current mayor of San Jose, and Katie Porter, a former member of Congress representing Orange County. A notable trend observed in this election, differing from previous cycles, is that Democratic voters appeared to defer their ballot submissions until the final days, likely indicating a period of deliberation before making their choices. The close margins and the extended period for vote tabulation underscore the dynamic and competitive nature of California's gubernatorial primary.

The current race for California governor sees Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton emerging as early frontrunners, positioning them as strong contenders for the upcoming runoff. Tom Steyer, despite his campaign efforts, is presently in third place. The final results, however, will be determined over the next few weeks as all votes are meticulously counted and certified, reflecting the complex and often lengthy election process in California.

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